Thursday, June 29, 2006

Taxes and Revenue

OK. So today the Regional Transportation Authority (RTA) will begin collection of .5% sales taxes on all items and services purchased except food and prescriptions. Housing is part of this tax hike, so tack it onto the price of a home, in addition to interest rate hikes and a housing glut that favors lower prices. Not the best time to invest in housing, it looks like. Buy high and sell higher is what some think is the norm and maybe it is because they aren’t making any more land and they sure are making more people. According to a source, housing prices are down 10-15% here in Tucson, as they are nationwide, particularly in Florida. Somebody is going to lose money!

I guess it makes sense to OK a residential high rise downtown during a water shortage and a housing glut. Cheap housing brings people as long as our quality of life remains sustainable in terms of water and food consumption. True, a high rise residential unit uses less water than lot housing development. I just wish you luck selling those residential units at the level you hoped for when you wrote up your proposal. Tucson no longer has cheap housing and cannot compete for the population overflow from the Midwest and California, as if we need any more.

After that brief detour, I return to the implications of the RTA. What if the sales tax projections fall short of the reality? It’s like divvying up the Colorado River during the rainiest period on record. Take your tax projections from a period of growth and inflationary spending, and the actual revenue could diminish if there is a recession.

The wholesale price of gasoline was up to $2.20 today. Add tax and dealer profits and we’re going to be paying $3.20. So goes Wal-Mart, so goes sales tax revenues? Check the figures and see if consumer spending is being diverted into paying for gas. Discretionary income is unknown to many as you should know, or are you a member of the ‘Let them eat cake’ group? Huge amounts of money are being spent to maintain our cars, agriculture and distribution system.

Given the limitations on resources, we cannot expect inflation to conveniently adjust the price of oil for us again. There is a true shortage coming, not just a production slowdown. Inflation now means impoverishment and Mr. Bernanke of the Federal Reserve is right to focus on controlling it.

So connect our rising taxes and petroleum prices, public debt, the RTA, a housing glut and a high rise downtown. Pull out your wallets and pay up.

Tuesday, June 27, 2006

Presidio Terrace Condominium Project

Doesn’t sound like too bad an idea except that this tall building will sure block out views of the mountains even worse than green mesquites close to the ground. Whose views? Whose views will now be more salable? What is a view worth?

Land worth at least $750,000 is now worth $2,000,000 to the city, which is proposed to be paid to Ms. Noonen, which makes the land free plus a nice little $1,250,000 cash bonanza for her! All so city employees get covered parking in perpetuity? When I wanted covered parking, I paid for it. Are city employees paying for their parking? What is the income on the current lot? Will the city get a like payment from Ms. Noonan or will this be a hidden cost in addition to the $1,250,000 paid to Ms. Noonan, so the city can expect a cut in income and maybe even lay somebody off, or as a last resort, pay for their own parking.

This is sure a good deal!

The project sounds OK except for the height. Maybe nobody wants to view your building from their front window. Is it that beautiful? Maybe a smaller project would fit the land better. Any particular style architecture? I hope not recreated Spokane in red brick façade over cardboard and stucco. Foodstores and reasonable eateries included in the project is a wonderful idea.

How about a shuttle bus picking up city employees or subsidized bus passes instead of parking that takes up so much space and money? Pave the world, folks. Who needs to park a personal vehicle that occasionally holds four or even more? Car pooling could cut down on the land use demands of parking so how about 4 persons per parking space?

Lower the height, deny the $2,000,000 to Ms. Noonen and offer instead a payment plan from individual car parkers to pay it to her as they use the space, like everybody else.

Sunday, June 25, 2006

Preserve and Provide

On June 24, the San Juan’s Day festival was held on the meeting place out West Congress by the huge eucalyptus tree. Horse shows, dancers and a superb ranchero band, plus tamales and tacos served while people prayed for rain.

I was pleased to see a Rio Nuevo booth, the portender of change for the ancestral heart of Tucson. Surrounded by Spanish costumes and customs from the 1500’s, I could not help but think that the people need this space and more to hold family style events like festivals and games.

So the city of Tucson will receive $1,100,000,000 to revitalize downtown. Revitalize does not mean the creation of a moribund residential district catering to expensive clients who all demand 200 square feet for their two vehicles per unit, thereby reducing the commercial space accordingly. Perhaps downtown is not the place to build high density housing.

Let’s make a park and a recharge lake downtown and set up low rent business units adjacent to official museum and science center units. Variety is truly the spice of life. Our climate allows for outdoor businesses and sports, so why not take advantage of it? Old downtown could furnish saloons and salons while Rio Nuevo could furnish eclectic shopping and eating and pubs.

Public money equals public facilities.

Saturday, June 24, 2006

Public Money for Public Purposes

The Rio Nuevo extension passed the legislature and the people of Tucson are now deprived of a vote and obligated by this august body to contribute matching funds to an exclusive tax rebate district for 12 more years. According to the Tucson Citizen, this will be $350,000,000 more in addition to the original $156,000,000, for a total of at least $506,000,000. We are such a rich town, we can afford to pay at least $650,000 from the city to Rio Nuevo every month, which is .7% of the total budget. That’s quite a bite, overall. Other figures state that Rio Nuevo would require even more matching funds.

Now, I’m hoping that social services in Tucson remain funded and maybe
expanded as need arises. It would be bad news if the homeless took to hanging around downtown instead of nimby. It wouldn’t look too good. What about low income housing downtown? Should the maids and gardeners be forced to ride the bus while the elite live in subsidized housing next door to where they work? What about grocery shopping? Shall we see an upsurgence in traffic to existing grocers or are you creating a situation in which people must have cars in order to purchase daily needs or must ride the bus to the store and backpack goods into their abode?

Infrastructure downtown? That needs to be addressed in order to accommodate any high density project. What are the costs of revamping the sewer, water, electric and gas infrastructure? Are high density projects too expensive? The MLK apartments are scaling back on the number of units to 66. What happens to the other residents currently living there?

I suggest a study on downtown properties. What are they charging for rent? If they are keeping people out with unworthy rents, they should be willing to lower their sights a little in order to get a viable deal. This includes hotels.

We need a cultural center, museum and outdoor arena for concerts and a flea market type shopping area. Did you see the crowds associated with the gem and mineral shows? We went to most of them and encountered many people buying and looking and enjoying themselves. Tourists want shopping variety and reasonable food. Tour buses will not stop where there is nothing to do. Leave open spaces where gem show vendors and others could set up and attract customers. Traveling art shows, chili cookoffs, the possibilities are endless. Bring the fair back to town!

I’m talking about public buildings, not subsidized housing or parking garages to benefit law bending developers who don’t want to follow the rules. I’m talking about a reasonable place for locals and tourists to enjoy themselves without having to spend too much money. I’m suggesting eclectic shopping and eating and traveling shows setting up right next door to the permanent booths, keeping the people interested. How about an old time western saloon and dance hall in one of those vacant spaces downtown? A modern Bird Cage Theater.

We need a nice new bus station connecting with the city bus system and convenient to Convento and the new flea market shopping area and adjoining traveling show setup areas. This bus station would be a dandy, with a 24 hour fast food joint inside, seating, telephones and bus connections all over the city and Davis Monthan. Shuttle service to Phoenix, etc. This parking thing is totally out of control. Every driver is now requiring 100 square feet of reserved space wherever they go, whenever they go. Of course parking is a problem but the problem derives from people’s attitudes and the lack of public transportation and proximity of stores.

Let’s put that CAP recharge right over here downtown in the Santa Cruz. Dump it in the ground and let it recharge and mingle with reclaimed water. We could have a park and riparian area near the old Convento and museum setup.

High end condos will not attract more free market money after the initial investment. If the city fathers and mothers want increased property tax revenue, then subsidize high end real estate and lock the poor outside looking in. If they want a free market stimulation, then invest in public buildings and have open air markets with cheap rents for small businesses, shopping and food service and collect your taxes there.

Avoid the subsidy of private projects or spending money that benefits these projects unless public aspects are also heavily enhanced. We need to work together to build projects that provide amusements and cultural activities for the people. I support the UA science center and the Museum Convento complex with the stipulation that the area include a superlative museum gift shop that sells high end arts and crafts, a world class desert botanical garden free for the viewing and a bookstore specializing in western history, ecology and mineral resources.

I could envision a terminal for the passenger railroad from Mexico if one existed! We should explore this possibility in contact with local representatives in Nogales and Hermosillo. This would vastly benefit downtown businesses and put Tucson on the map as a true international city, with air and rail transportation to Mexico. Mexican rail could make money if they transported tourists to the interesting places, particularly the new international port in Guaymas.

This money should not be wasted on bureaucracy or private projects. The people are paying for this and they deserve a return on their money.

Friday, June 23, 2006

Rio Nuevo Money

The Arizona Daily Star reports that a heavily amended Rio Nuevo bill passed and Tucson will receive $600,000,000 more money to revitalize old downtown on top of the original $125,000,000. An additional 12 years was added to the duration of the Rio Nuevo deal, which obligates and earmarks $600,000,000 more MATCHING FUNDS out of the budget until 2025, for a total of $725,000,000 that could balloon to $925,000,000 out of the Tucson budget. Them that has, gets, I’m guessing.

Now, I’m hoping that social services in Tucson remain funded and maybe expanded as need arises. It would be bad news if the homeless took to hanging around downtown instead of nimby. What about low income housing downtown? Should the maids and gardeners be forced to ride the bus while the elite live next door to where they work? What about grocery shopping? Shall we see an upsurgence in traffic to existing grocers or are you creating a situation in which people must have cars in order to purchase daily needs or must ride the bus to the store and backpack goods into their abode?

Infrastructure downtown? That needs to be addressed in order to accommodate any high density project. What are the costs of revamping the sewer, water, electric and gas infrastructure? Are high density projects too expensive? The MLK apartments are scaling back on the number of units to 66. What happens to the other residents currently living there?

It is interesting that this legislative Rio Nuevo extension of a 10 year voter approved measure did not require further voter approval even though the matching funds required out of the city budget are a form of taxation, public money diverted to an earmarked project. So now the legislature made sure the people of Tucson are obligated to contribute $725,000,000 to augment the $725,000,000 tax rebate earmarked to be spent on old downtown. This is $1,450,000,000 to be spent on revitalizing downtown. I suggest a study on downtown properties. What are they charging for rent? If they are keeping people out with unworthy rents, they should be willing to lower their sights a little in order to get a viable deal.

Interesting businesses attract tourists. Tour buses circulate tourists. Tourists want shopping and local history and reasonable accommodations. We need a cultural center, museum and outdoor arena for concerts and an outdoor flea market type shopping area featuring goods from around the world but Latin America, local artists and UA student art featured. Did you see the crowds associated with the gem and mineral shows? We went to most of them and encountered many people buying and looking and enjoying themselves. Leave open spaces where gem show vendors and others could set up and attract customers. Traveling art shows, chili cookoffs, the possibilities are endless. Bring the fair back to town!

I’m talking about public buildings, not subsidized housing or parking garages to benefit law bending developers who don’t want to follow the rules. I’m talking about a reasonable place for people to enjoy themselves without having to spend too much money. I’m talking about eclectic shopping and eating and traveling shows setting up right next door, keeping the people interested.

How about a nice new bus station connecting with the city bus system and convenient to Convento and the new flea market shopping area and adjoining traveling show setup areas. This bus station would be a dandy, with a 24 hour fast food joint inside, seating, telephones and bus connections all over the city and Davis Monthan. Shuttle service to Phoenix, etc. This parking thing is totally out of control. Every driver is now requiring 100 square feet of reserved space wherever they go, whenever they go. Of course parking is a problem but the problem derives from people’s attitudes and the lack of public transportation and proximity of necessary stores.

Let’s put that CAP recharge right over here downtown in the Santa Cruz. Dump it in the ground and let it recharge and mingle with reclaimed water. We could have a park and riparian area near the old Convento and museum setup. People are interested in food, shopping, events, displays, competitive prices and a variety of goods. High end condos will not attract more free market money after the initial investment. If the city fathers and mothers want increased tax revenue, then subsidize high end real estate. If they want a free market stimulation, then invest in public buildings and have open air markets with cheap rents for small businesses, shopping and food service and collect your taxes there. Open air markets are cheap to build and maintain and have a charm lacking in the defunct mall.

Avoid the subsidy of private projects or spending money that benefits these projects unless public aspects are enhanced also. We need to work together to build projects that provide amusements and cultural activities for the people. I support the UA science center and the Museum Convento complex with the stipulation that the museum gift shop be superlative in high end arts and crafts, a world class desert botanical garden free for the viewing and a bookstore specializing in western history, ecology and mineral resources will be included.

I could envision a terminal for the passenger railroad from Mexico if one existed! We should explore this possibility in contact with local representatives in Nogales and Hermosillo. This would vastly benefit downtown businesses and put Tucson on the map as a true international city, with air and rail transportation to Mexico. Mexican rail could make money if they transported tourists to the interesting places, particularly the new international port in Guaymas.

This money should not be wasted on bureaucracy or private projects. The people are paying for this and they deserve a return on their money.

Sunday, June 18, 2006

Downtown Building

It is obvious that the large scale projects dreamed up by entrepreneurs are not scaled to the environment in which they wish to fit them. The reason the city requires parking with developments is to forestall disputes rising from congested parking and businesses choked out because somebody else is using all the parking space for their enterprises.

Subsidized parking is not warranted anywhere. Let free enterprise take care of it. What we really need is more profitable bus and shuttle services and less government favoritism and meddling in free enterprise. The zoning codes appear to be a bit restrictive, and could do with a good going over.

It does appear that one parking space per rental or condo unit would be allowable, but it did occur to me that perhaps the space is being partitioned too many times. A smaller number of units on the property would fulfill the city’s requirements and allow for more open space. Crime rate and density are directly related. I suppose that density and profits are also related. The public good should be a consideration.

Monday, June 12, 2006

Political Policy Questions for Surveys

New Questions for Political Policy Surveys: Yes or No answers graph well and are easy to talk about. This is an easy survey to give.

QUESTIONS

1. Do you support the right to own firearms?
2. Should illegal immigrants who have a job be able to get temporary work permits?
3. Are you worried about the national budget deficit?
4. Do you support same sex marriage?
5. Would you be willing to ration water in order to allow for more population growth?
6. Should candidates support more social services?
7. Is the Iraq War on track?
8. Should candidates support research to develop cheaper fuel sources?
9. Should public education get more money when it already controls half the state budget?
10. Does public education need reform?
11. Is there too much infighting in Washington D.C.?
12. Have you cut back on gasoline use?
13. Should candidates care more about our natural world?
14. Are higher property taxes difficult to pay?
15. Are you worried about illegal immigration?
16. Is abortion wrong?

Saturday, June 03, 2006

Musings on Tucson

Rio Nuevo stalled? Let’s have a full accounting of what money is left and what has been spent. Reorganize and come up with an affordable project that can be accomplished with local employees. Use the full bid process with local preference after a background and experience check for all bidders. Giving somebody an exclusive with deadline extensions wastes time.

Nimbus? They should quit asking for special deals and act like a self sufficient business. Why expect taxpayers to subsidize that business? That is not free enterprise. The City Council should not be in a rush to ‘develop’ this land. Let it sit there a while and put it out to bid or hold on to it if the bids don’t meet expectations. Make it into a parking lot and make some $ without much investment.

Or how about this? Charter Schools downtown for employees children. Charter schools downtown with direct connections to the UofA. How about a transitioning from high school to UA Charter school with classes at the UA? Ride the goddamn trolley that goes over the tracks, has stops along the old warehouse row and then on to downtown and past all the charter schools close to government and UofA.

Leave the old 4th Avenue underpass alone. It’s an icon. Walk down to the lowest point and whistle and you will hear the echo. We used to sing as we bicycled or walked through. Don’t break it.

Route the trolley down 4th, around and over the track. Cheap! More stops and more business exposure. And no need to close roads and reroute traffic on a major scale.

Friday, June 02, 2006

4,300 Acres of Owl Habitat

Let’s look at these projects that are proposed to be built on owl habitat:

The Tucson Daily Star said these projects would bring in 1200 new housing units.

It is my opinion this population increase would create water demand that might be difficult to meet these days. If you use the average of 3 residents per housing unit average and water consumption at 125 gallons per day, per individual, 450,000 more gallons of water per day would be demanded and that does not count business and school consumption.

I wonder if good old Tucson Water is ready to up water production for these new local developments? How is the water table? Is it falling or what? What is the official word on this?

How secure is the Lake Mead water supply to the Central Arizona Project? What is the relationship between Lake Powell and Lake Mead water extraction?

In short, can we afford to ‘develop’ these new lands? There are so many reasons not to develop this owl habitat. The encroaching drought is impacting our water supply and the wisdom of adding to the water burden at this time is questionable. Deny building permits and give our water infrastructure time to recover. Let the owl live a little longer.

We are experiencing a slowdown in real estate and a surfeit of houses for sale, fewer buyers and falling prices. So I ask you, is this the time to invest in more houses? Why destroy habitat, deplete our water system and then lose your ass when the homes don’t sell? What about the bad press the Homebuilders get when they stomp owls to make money?

So let’s list 3 of the projects that are determined to add to the housing glut by wiping out habitat of one of God’s creatures, leaving the conservation of this scarce owl to others.

These must be projects of huge importance:

Summit Vistas (Tucson, NW side)
Mission Peaks (Sahuarita)
Cahanza Springs (Apache Junction)

The Southern Arizona Homebuilders Association is pushing to cheapen this precious land inhabited by tiny owls. Some highrollers would pay good money to have a pad in the midst of that but the bulldozing fools can’t envision fitting a home into a beautiful landscape. They can only envision changing the environment to enable them to use heavy machinery…for ease of building and their preconceived notions of what it ought to look like. A real artist would design to fit the landscape, not alter the landscape to fit the design.

The price of gas does not encourage long commutes and houses far out from employment are not going to be as salable. White elephants eat a lot, don’t they?